Sikandar Box Office Collection Prediction: Will Salman Khan’s 2025 Eid Release Break Records?
Salman Khan is gearing up to storm the box office with Sikandar, set to release on March 30, 2025—just in time for Eid. With a powerhouse cast, a seasoned director, and the festive season in its corner, the film’s got all the makings of a blockbuster. But how much will it actually rake in? Let’s crunch the numbers, analyze the buzz, and predict whether Sikandar will rewrite Salman’s box office legacy—or stumble under the weight of expectations.
Sikandar at a Glance
Sikandar hits theaters on a Sunday, March 30, 2025, aligning with Eid al-Fitr, a slot Salman has historically owned. Directed by A.R. Murugadoss—known for action-packed hits like Ghajini—and produced by Sajid Nadiadwala, the film stars Salman Khan alongside Rashmika Mandanna, Kajal Aggarwal, and a solid supporting cast. Billed as an action thriller, it’s already generating chatter with its teaser, songs, and a trailer that dropped jaws. The question is: can it translate hype into hard cash?
Factors Driving Sikandar’s Box Office Potential
- Salman’s Eid Legacy: Salman and Eid are a golden combo. Films like Bajrangi Bhaijaan (₹320 crore domestic) and Sultan (₹300 crore+) turned holidays into box office bonanzas. Even Tiger 3 (2023), despite mixed reviews, opened at ₹42.25 crore on a Sunday Eid release. Sikandar has that festive magic in its favor.
- Advance Booking Trends: As of March 29, 2025, reports suggest Sikandar has sold over 2.2 lakh tickets for its Hindi version, netting ₹6.46 crore in pre-sales, per Sacnilk. Including blocked seats, it’s at ₹13.53 crore with over 8,000 shows nationwide. Posts on X peg ticket sales at 90,000+ in some circuits, hinting at a robust start.
- Competition: The Malayalam film L2: Empuraan releases around the same time, but its Hindi dubbed version isn’t expected to dent Sikandar’s core markets. With no major Bollywood clash, Salman has the Hindi belt to himself—a rare advantage.
- Trailer and Music Reception: The trailer’s racked up 36 million YouTube views, though X posts show mixed reactions—some call it “blockbuster,” others “average.” Songs like “Zohra Jabeen” and “Sikandar Naache” have fans buzzing, but the jury’s out until audiences weigh in post-release.
Box Office Collection Prediction
- Day 1 (Opening Day): Given Salman’s Eid pull, advance bookings, and a Sunday release, Sikandar could open between ₹35-45 crore nett in India (Hindi). Trade experts like Taran Adarsh and Vishek Chauhan predict ₹30-55 crore, with ₹40 crore as a safe midpoint if the trailer clicks. Overseas markets might add ₹10-15 crore, pushing the worldwide Day 1 to ₹50-60 crore.
- Opening Weekend (Days 1-3): Assuming a strong Sunday debut, followed by Eid holiday momentum, the weekend could hit ₹120-150 crore nett domestically. Globally, with a solid overseas push (especially in the Gulf), it might touch ₹175-200 crore. X users predict ₹200 crore+ in India alone if word of mouth is stellar, though that’s optimistic.
- Lifetime Domestic and Worldwide: If Sikandar delivers mass appeal and positive reviews, it could end its India run at ₹250-300 crore nett. A global haul of ₹400-500 crore is within reach, joining the elite ₹500-crore club (like Pathaan or Animal) if it sustains beyond the opening week. Poor reception, however, might cap it at ₹200 crore domestic and ₹300 crore worldwide.
Comparison with Salman’s Past Performances
Salman’s peak hits—Bajrangi Bhaijaan (₹626 crore worldwide) and Tiger Zinda Hai (₹565 crore)—set a high bar. But post-pandemic, Tiger 3 settled at ₹466 crore globally, underwhelming for an Eid release. Sikandar’s Sunday slot mirrors Tiger 3, but Murugadoss’s fresh take and Rashmika’s rising star power could give it an edge. In today’s market, crossing ₹300 crore domestic would be a comeback win for Salman.
What Could Make or Break Sikandar?
- Strengths: Salman’s mass appeal is unmatched—his films open big even when weak (Kisi Ka Bhai Kisi Ki Jaan: ₹24.5 crore Sunday). Eid timing, Murugadoss’s action expertise, and a clear release window are huge pluses. Posts on X call it a “tsunami loading,” banking on his loyal fanbase.
- Risks: The trailer’s lukewarm buzz on X (“boring” to some) could dampen walk-ins. Competition from Empuraan in South India, plus audience fatigue with Salman’s action formula, might hurt. It needs strong word of mouth to avoid a Tiger 3-style fade.
Conclusion
Sikandar is poised for a thunderous start, with a predicted Day 1 of ₹35-45 crore nett and a shot at ₹400-500 crore worldwide if all goes right. Salman’s star power, paired with Eid’s festive boost, gives it a fighting chance to reclaim his box office crown. Will it break records or settle as a solid hit? Grab your tickets for March 30, 2025, and find out if Sikandar rules the box office battlefield!